les cahiers du cread https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread <p>Our Journal “<em>les cahiers du cread</em>” is a quarterly economic review publishing original findings of empirical research and theoretical debates on fields pertaining to our mission coverage (Macro Economics, Industrial Economics and Firms, Human Development &amp; Social Economics, Agriculture &amp; Environment).</p> <p>You can view this journal's website <a href="http://www.cread.dz" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</p> en-US The copyright belongs to The Journal (CREAD). Karima.boudedja@gmail.com (Dr. Karima BOUDEDJA) cdccread@gmail.com (Fatma Hernoun) Wed, 30 Aug 2023 15:22:57 +0000 OJS 3.3.0.11 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss 60 La coordination entre urbanisation et transport à Tizi-Ouzou vers une politique de déplacement durable https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253827 <p>La croissance urbaine accélérée et les mutations socio-économiques qu’a subies la ville de Tizi Ouzou, génèrent de plus en plus l’évolution des demandes en déplacement, en transport et en infrastructures routières, avec une situation marquée par la dominance du caractère rural et des contraintes topographiques qui produisent des obstacles vis-à-vis du développement urbain de cette région. <br>On s'appuie dans cette étude sur la notion d'interaction "urbanisme-mobilité", dans un contexte marqué par une urbanisation spontanée et par un système de transport insuffisant qui ne serait pas susceptible de satisfaire la demande de la population. Mais plusieurs atouts sont favorables pour une meilleure gestion de la mobilité durable à Tizi Ouzou où la part modale du transport collectif est la plus dominante et les taux de motorisation sont encore faibles.</p> Kahina Louani, Abdelkader Kebiche Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253827 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 The impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Algeria: empirical study using SVAR model https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253828 <p>This study aims to analyze the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Algeria using the Autoregressive Structural Vector Methodology (SVAR), we will follow the method of working of Blanchard and Perotti (2002).We include only three variables: public spending G, Taxes (Direct taxes + Indirect taxes) TAX and GDP. The study concluded that there is a positive effect of public spending on the economic growth in Algeria, but it is smaller, and it is only in the short term and then turns into a negative impact in the medium and long term. This indicates that ordinary taxation is very limited to increase economic growth in Algeria with the strong presence of petroleum taxation. When a negative shock occurs in the price of a barrel then the effect is transferred directly to the public revenues and automatically to the public spending.</p> Mohammed Daoudi Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253828 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Les déterminants du désir de migration chez les jeunes maghrébins : Algérie, Maroc et Tunisie https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253829 <p>En prenant en compte le contexte international et régional de la migration, ce travail tente de répondre à une question simple : quels sont les principaux déterminants du désir de migration chez les jeunes dans trois pays du Maghreb : Algérie, Maroc et Tunisie. L’analyse est fondée sur l’exploitation des données quantitatives et qualitatives issues d’un projet de recherche qui a été réalisé dans la région MENA (Moyen-Orient et Afrique du Nord). Les logiques aux niveaux individuel et collectif seront examinées à l’aune des éléments qui caractérisent le contexte socio-économique et politique de la région et de ses liens avec les pays de destination. Au-delà du désir de migration, ce travail se propose d’éclairer la migration illégale, un phénomène commun aux trois pays du Maghreb.</p> Mustapha Omrane, Meriem Ahmed Serir Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253829 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Veille stratégique et capacité d’absorption: enjeux et mécanismes https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253890 <p>Aujourd’hui, la surcharge informationnelle se fait de plus en plus ressentir. Nous sommes chaque jour un peu plus inondés par la masse informationnelle, ce qui rend la tâche de la prise de décision encore plus difficile dans les organisations. Cet article vise à comprendre comment la capacité d’absorption peut contribuer à gérer la surabondance des informations issues de la veille stratégique. L’objectif est de déterminer et d’analyser la relation entre la veille stratégique et la capacité d’absorption pour gérer la surcharge d’informations, et de contribuer aussi à enrichir les connaissances sur le sujet. Ce travail fut mené auprès de six centres de recherche, dont trois centres canadiens et trois autres algériens. Une étude qualitative a été privilégiée pour comprendre les différents points de vue des répondants. Nos résultats révèlent que, la veille stratégique peut générer une surcharge d’informations, et que la capacité d’absorption des employés a une influence sur cette surabondance. Néanmoins, l’utilisation de la capacité d’absorption comme entonnoir pour filtrer les informations pertinentes ne peut être suffisant.</p> Meryem Amghar, Amal Hessaine Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253890 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Déterminants de la performance à l’export des pme algériennes : dirigeant, entreprise et conditions dans le pays d’origine https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253892 <p>Ce travail a pour objectif d’analyser les déterminants de la performance à l’export des PME en intégrant les caractéristiques du dirigeant, de l’entreprise et de l’environnement externe, comme les éléments du contexte du pays de départ et les stimuli à l’export. En nous basant sur des données recueillies auprès de 53 PME exportatrices algériennes, et à travers un modèle d’équations structurelles, nous avons testé les effets de trois groupes de facteurs (profil du dirigeant, caractéristiques internes de l’entreprise, caractéristiques de l’environnement externe) sur deux types de mesures de la performance (objective et subjective). Nos résultats montrent l’importance des facteurs liés au profil du dirigeant et confortent une conception multidimensionnelle de la performance à l’export.</p> Mohamed Kadi, Foued Cheriet Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253892 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Les vendeurs d’intrants agricoles, des traducteurs locaux d’un système d'innovation agricole mondialise. Cas du maraichage sous serre a Biskra (Algérie) https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253895 <p>L’intégration des marchés des intrants agricoles est l’une des facettes de la mondialisation des systèmes alimentaires, en forte accélération ces dernières décennies. Elle permet à certaines filières agricoles nationales, ou certains de leurs segments, d’intégrer un système d’innovation agricole mondialisé, piloté par les multinationales. Les mécanismes de cette intégration, ses acteurs et ses conséquences sur le développement agricole dans les pays du Sud sont au centre des recherches sur les systèmes d’innovation agricole (SIA). Cet article analyse les rôles des fournisseurs d’intrants agricoles, particulièrement les vendeurs détaillants, dans l’introduction et la diffusion des innovations techniques dans la filière des cultures maraîchères sous serres froides à Biskra, wilaya leader de la filière. Basée sur l’approche des « fonctions des systèmes d'innovation », l’analyse met en évidence le double rôle des détaillants d’intrants dans le SIA : la création et la diffusion de connaissances (conseil agricole) et la mobilisation de ressources (crédit fournisseur).</p> Nadir Laouar, Ali Daoudi, Patrick Dugué Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253895 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Measuring the impact of strategic planning on organizational performance using the PLS approach https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253898 <p>The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate on the impact of strategic planning on organizational performance of the companies by presenting a theoretical model that highlights this relationship. We conducted a survey of 46 industrial companies from different sectors to assess this impact. The results of structural equation modeling using the PLS approach show that a few dimensions of strategic planning positively affect only a certain number of financial and non-financial indicators of organizational performance.</p> Naoual oumakhlouf, Hamid Kherbachi Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253898 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Options trading strategies for the price coverage of the algerian oil barrel sahara blend https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253904 <p>This paper focuses on the problem of hedging the risk of financial loss generated by the fall in the price of the Algerian oil barrel Sahara Blend, with the aim of proposing an approach allowing the reduction of financial losses, following unfavorable movements in oil prices. After a reminder on the strategic importance of the energy sector for the Algerian economy, we will evaluate the derivative products using different models. We present some option hedging strategies. Our results indicate that the use of options would effectively cushion a possible drop in the price of Sahara Blend, provided that the choice of the option exchange strategy is optimal. The study covers the period from 12/31/2019 to 06/30/2021, and the data is available on the websites www.oilprice.com and www.fred.stlouisfed.org. <br>Finally, the results indicate that taking into account the cost of hedging and gains at maturity, bear spread and traddle strategies remain the most optimal.</p> Adlane Haffar, Eric Le Fur, Nour El-Islam Djedaa, Samer Mehibel Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253904 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Perceptions of the sustainable entrepreneurial intention of university students as picture for economic integration https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253920 <p>The domain of sustainable entrepreneurship has recently received great interest by many researchers, and this is due to the role it plays in sustainable economic development. Algeria has adopted a series of policies and programs to promote sustainable enterprises. Its success is linked to the awareness of emerging and potential entrepreneurs, particularly the contribution of the university in training and developing graduates, considered as the elite of the society. This research paper aims to measure the impact of personal perceptions of sustainable entrepreneurship on the intent of sustainable entrepreneurship. The study was conducted on a group of students who are about to graduate. The sample contained eighty-three (83) students from various disciplines of the university. It concluded that the perceptions of sustainable entrepreneurship have an impact on sustainable entrepreneurial intentions and that both the social and the environmental perceptions have a positive and statistically significant impact on sustainable entrepreneurial intention. However, the economic perception did not have a significant effect on the intention of sustainable enterprise.</p> Mouhamed Fouzi Boudia, Faouzia Hagain Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253920 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Effect of accounting disclosure on returns of shares in the algerian stock exchange : application of var model https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253924 <p>This paper aims to investigate the relationship between annual document disclosure and the stock liquidity for companies listed on the Algeria stock market. VAR&nbsp; model was used to examine the impact of the market efficiency on the stock prices of the companies from 2000 to 2015. The findings indicate that there was no significant effect related to the timing of publication of financial information over a period of study on stock returns in the days around the publication days of annual financial statements; Accounting disclosure also affects, directly or indirectly, the decisions of investors, as well as activating the stock market and increasing the movement of trading and stock prices with it The effect of disclosure becomes clear when the information is published late or inaccurate or excellent in its presentation and its failure to rely on agreed accounting principles and standards, or result in a negative impact on the behavior of the investor, This affects the degree of risk that he is willing to bear according to his circumstances. The timing of the financial information release depends on the basic environment in which Algerian institutions operate.</p> Nadjib Khadri, Sami Sobhi Waked, Soufyane Bouali, Mohamed Ali Brahim Omri Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253924 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Effets des chocs pétroliers sur l’étendue de l'économie informelle en Algérie une approche par un modèle ARDL asymétrique (1970-2018) https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253933 <p>&nbsp;Ce papier analyse la réponse de la taille de l’économie informelle aux variations des cours du pétrole en Algérie. L’application d’un modèle ARDL non linéaire confirme la présence d’une relation de long terme entre la taille de l’économie informelle, la masse monétaire réelle au sens M1, les crédits à l’économie et les prix du pétrole. En utilisant deux mesures de l’économie informelle, basées sur des indicateurs macroéconomiques, utilisées comme une approximation de sa taille, les résultats montrent que l’hypothèse d’asymétrie est valide à court et à long terme. De plus, la taille de l’économie informelle est plus sensible à la hausse qu’à la baisse des cours pétroliers.</p> Anissa Atmani, Nacer-Eddine Mouffok Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253933 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Construction of experience life-tables for the algerian survivor pension beneficiaries https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253936 <p>The objective of this paper is to construct periodic life tables based on the mortality experience of the Algerian survivor pension beneficiaries. Usually, the mortality of retirees is lower than that of the global population, essentially due to better living conditions and access to health care. Also, we aim to verify if mortality is different between the categories of survivor pensioners and to adapt the actuarial life tables accordingly, which may result in actuarial valuations more adapted to the risk function of each subpopulation. To this end, we compare three parametric models i.e., the Gompertz model, the Kannisto model, and the Heligman &amp; Pollard model. Results show a significant difference between the life expectancy of the survivor pension beneficiaries and that of the direct retirees and between the categories of survivor pensioners.</p> Hafida Assas, Farid Flici, Ghania Saidi, Yasmine Hannani Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253936 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Assessment of algerian interbank interest rate through extreme value theory https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253937 <p>This article tries to examine the evolution of interest rates in the Algerian interbank money market which focuses on the behavior of extreme. Empirical results illustrate that data are not distributed normally, exhibiting that their distribution is fat tails. Applying the GEV method on the maxima shows that the distribution law of the maxima changes over time due to the non-stationary data.&nbsp; Subsequent investigations suggest two subsample periods.&nbsp;&nbsp; The first period characterized by a deterioration of the liquidity of Algerian banks following the collapse of oil prices (1997-2000), the distribution law obtained is the law of Fréchet, but during the period characterized by an excess liquidity of the banks resulted from the increase in oil prices (2002-2013), the distribution law found is that of Weibull which is right bounded.</p> Nadia Afroune, Mohamed Achouche Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253937 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 The impact of business ethics on the achievement of sustainable competitive advantage at the port enterprises in the algerian east https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253938 <p>This study aims to identify the impact of business ethics on the achievement of sustainable competitive advantage at the port enterprises in the Algerian East. To achieve the objectives of the study and test its hypotheses, a questionnaire was distributed to a simple random sample of 356 employees.</p> <p>The results indicated that there is Business ethics towards both workers and the environment is the most influential in the sustainable competitive advantage of port enterprises. The study recommended the need to pay more attention to ethical aspects by following the mechanisms of establishing them and working to establish them within the culture of the enterprises.</p> Sabri Mkimah, Imane Ramdhan Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253938 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Spatial developement and disparities among algerian cities econometric study by using spatial econometrics tools https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253939 <p>The study of mechanisms of spatial convergence<strong>, </strong>and their impact on achieving spatial development requires to study the spatial economic structure to find out the strengths and weaknesses in the construction of local economies which have become more of a necessity to reduce disparities and spatial differences within the same geographic structure<strong>, </strong>in order to guide economic and social public policies for targeting development possibilities and resources more effectively<strong>, </strong>we use this spatial econometrics analysis<strong>, </strong>in order to identify the disparities among Algerian cities (35 city) and determine factors that affect spatial development. The results of data envelopment analysis and spatial econometric methods indicate the presence of heterogeneity and disparities among Algerian cities. also<strong>, </strong>this analysis shows that the application of spatial and regional development mechanisms is still limited in creating links and interactions between regions, which are a component of the national economy.</p> Mokhtar Idrissi, Djelloul Cherifi, Youcef Souar Copyright (c) 2023 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/cread/article/view/253939 Wed, 30 Aug 2023 00:00:00 +0000