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Factors influencing clinical pregnancy outcome of in vitro fertilization/ intracytoplasmic sperm injection in older women


Jinyu Gao
Zhaohua Liu
Yao Zhong
Nannan Li
Tingting Tang

Abstract

Objective: To analyse the factors influencing clinical pregnancy outcome of in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) in older women, and to establish a risk prediction model.


Methods: A total of 425 patients receiving IVF/ICSI from March 2018 to March 2020 were divided into pregnancy group (n=194) and non-pregnancy group (n=231). The factors affecting the outcomes of IVF/ICSI were explored by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. A nomogram prediction model was constructed.


Results: The two groups had significantly different age, body mass index, dysmenorrhea, parity, times of full-term births, history of cesarean section, basal follicle stimulating hormone, basal antral follicle count (AFC), number of high-quality embryos, and basal estradiol, luteinizing hormone and endometrial thickness on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (HCG) administration (P<0.05). Age ≥40 years old, dysmenorrhea, history of cesarean section, basal AFC<9, number of high-quality embryos <4, and endometrial thickness on the day of HCG administration <11 mm led to IVF/ICSI failure. The established model exhibited high calibration and discrimination degrees in predicting the outcome of IVF/ICSI.


Conclusion: The risk prediction model for the pregnancy outcome of IVF/ICSI in older women helps evaluate the fertility probability and risk, providing references for formulating reasonable assisted reproduction plans.


Keywords: Older pregnant woman; in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection; pregnancy outcome; risk factor; nomogram prediction model.


Journal Identifiers


eISSN: 1729-0503
print ISSN: 1680-6905