Probability distribution of long-run indiscriminate felling of trees in Adamawa state, north eastern Nigeria

  • VB Taru
  • SS Zirra
  • J Joseph
Keywords: Markov chain, Forest, Desertification, Equilibrium


The study was undertaken to determine the probability distribution of Long-run indiscriminate felling of trees in northern senatorial district of Adamawa State. Specifically, the study focused on examining the future direction of indiscriminate felling of trees as well as its equilibrium distribution. A multi-stage and simple random sampling technique was employed in soliciting respondents for the study. Three out of the five local Government areas that made up the senatorial district were sampled in the first instance; the second stage was the sampling of sixty respondents using a simple random sampling from each of the three local government areas making a total of one hundred and eighty respondents. Structured questionnaires were administered on the one hundred and eighty
respondents. Results revealed that there is a dismal reduction in the numbers of trees on various farms. This was indicated by majority, 64% of the farmers in Madagali, 58% of the famer in Maiha and 86% of the farmers in Mubi North Local Government Areas. Conclusively, the study is a wake-up call for all the authorities concern to swing into action before the study area is declared “desert” because by all indication there is desert encroachment. Massive tree planting is encouraged and there should also be strict law against the act of felling of trees.

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eISSN: 1596-2903